A decade on the inside of how goods leave Indonesia.
Choirul Amin, S.Ak., M.Econ. has spent more than a decade inside Indonesia’s customs administration and international trade. He founded Ekspor.id to teach small Indonesian businesses how to sell abroad, and has since trained exporters in most provinces of the country. He holds a Master of Economics from the National University of Singapore.
Indonesia sells more than ever. It still barely trades.
Exports reached US$282.9 billion in 2025, the highest figure on record.
Set against the size of the economy, that is 22 percent of GDP — a quarter of
Vietnam’s ratio, and less than a third of Malaysia’s. What limits Indonesia is
not demand for what it makes. It is how few of its businesses ever reach that demand.
Exports of goods and services, share of GDP
Vietnam90.2%
Malaysia71.3%
Thailand69.7%
Indonesia22.3%
World Bank, World Development Indicators (NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS), 2024.
Merchandise exports, US$ billion
Badan Pusat Statistik. The 2025 figure is preliminary.
Largest non-oil-and-gas export groups, 2025
Palm & vegetable oils34.36 / 12.7%
Coal & mineral fuels32.04 / 11.9%
Iron & steel27.97 / 10.4%
Electrical machinery19.19 / 7.1%
Vehicles & parts12.18 / 4.5%
US$ billion and share of non-oil-and-gas exports (US$269.8 bn).
Kementerian Perdagangan, on BPS data.
Three commodity groups — palm oil, coal, and iron and steel —
carry 35 percent of everything Indonesia sells abroad outside oil and gas. That value is
real. It is also concentrated in a small number of large firms and a handful of tariff
chapters. Meanwhile the World Trade Organization expects world merchandise trade volume to
grow 1.9 percent in 2026, down from an estimated 4.6 percent in 2025. Growth from
here will not arrive on a rising tide. It has to come from more Indonesian businesses
trading at all.
Where the gap is
~60%
of GDP produced by MSMEs
~97%
of the workforce employed by them
~16%
of exports produced by them
Micro, small and medium enterprises are most of the Indonesian economy and
almost all of its employment. They are a sixth of its exports. Closing that distance is
the whole of my work — the teaching, the book, and the research behind both.
MSME shares of GDP (2024) and of employment (2021) from Kementerian UMKM
and Kementerian Koperasi dan UKM. The export share is a figure stated repeatedly by
Indonesian economic ministers, most recently in January 2025, rather than a dated
statistical release. World trade growth: WTO, Global Trade Outlook and
Statistics, 19 March 2026.
The book
The Exporter
Membongkar Paradoks Raksasa yang Enggan Berlayar
Southeast Asia’s largest economy, with one of the longest coastlines on earth, wrapped around the busiest shipping lanes on the planet. And yet exports account for barely 22 percent of Indonesia’s GDP, and the small businesses that employ most of the country produce only about 15 percent of what it sells abroad. The Exporter asks why, and answers plainly: what keeps a business at home is rarely the regulation. It is never having been told the regulation applies to them.
Export fogExport fog — the information, perception and coordination gaps that leave a business unwilling or unable to enter an export market it is perfectly capable of serving.The Exporter · Choirul AminGeographic costGeographic cost — the extra cost carried by a business sitting away from the national logistics centre, imposed by a centralised distribution structure. Not an official levy: a structural burden written into no regulation.The Exporter · Choirul AminTrader as institutionTrader as institution — the non-producing exporter read as an economic institution that lowers the fixed cost of exporting, rather than a middleman taking a cut; and so owed the standing in trade policy that a bank is given in finance.The Exporter · Choirul Amin
6th WCO RTC Indonesia International Conference · 22 October 2026
Hosted by Indonesia’s Customs and Excise Education and Training Centre,
which serves as the World Customs Organization’s Regional Training Centre
for Asia and the Pacific. The theme, Customs Vigilance and Non-Tariff
Measures, follows the WCO’s 2026 call for customs to protect society
through vigilance. Hundreds of papers were submitted from several countries,
thirty were presented, and five were named best paper.
Figure 1
Seven stages stand between intending to export and exporting regularly. Customs holds no record of a firm until the first declaration is lodged, at stage six. Firms that give up before that leave no trace in the data used to design export policy — which is where the paper argues customs could act earlier.
Before the Border: A Pre-Entry Customs Intervention Framework for Expanding MSME Export Participation in Indonesia
Indonesia does not lack products. It lacks exporters.
The Exporter · Choirul Amin
Most businesses that could sell abroad never try — not because the rules forbid it, but because nobody ever walked them through it. This is where that starts.
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